Bjorn Lomborg: Cool It: The Skeptical Environmentalist's Guide to Global Warming.
* Polar bearings are not dying out - the population has grown form 5,000 in 1960s to 25,000 today (p. 3).
* Global Warming: there is no such thing as a world temperature.
* Global Warming: the cold places get hotter, more than the warm places.
* As heat deaths will increase, deaths from cold spells decrease. As more die of the latter than the former, there is a net benefit - a factor of sevenfold actually. p18
*The cost of carbon reduction (a la Kyoto) is vastly more than making reasonable adjustments to our cities - lighter colour roads, white buildings which reflect heat rather than absorb it.
* The Al Gore crowd are motivated by an evangelistic zeal to save the world.
* CO2 and Temperature seem to go hand in hand, but past records show that temperature change proceeds CO2 level changes!
* The "little ice age" during the last millenium mean that eskimos landed their kayaks in Scotland, so fra south did the ice come.
* Kilimanjaro is losing its ice cap - but not due to Global Warming - rather due to a drier climate.
* Artic melting will not drastically affect sea levels because ice already displaces the water.
* Al Gore has vastly over exaggerated the sea level impact by a factor of 20 . The standard scientific levels are less than 1 ft. As this will not all happen in an afternoon, we have a few decades to prepare. In fact we have until 2100.
* Antartica is not melting. The focus has been upon one peninsula area, where some melting has occured. But the rest, by far the largest area, is actually cooling.
* Penguin populations are just fine.
* Any land impact of rising sea levels, are all managaeble through careful planning. The cost of preparation should this happen is much less than the costs of Kyoto.
* Extreme weather. There is little correlation with GW claims.
* Economic tornado loss in the US has been declining since 1950.
* The key is to bring wealth and, with it, health to the poor parts of the world - Kyoto will hamper progress towards this goal.
* Since 1961 world population has doubled, but food production has tripled.
* In 1950 50% of the world's population was starving, today it is 17%, and the prospect is just
2.9% by 2050.
* Water: there is availble 5,300l per person per day. The average EU citizen uses 566l/day and the average american 1,442l/day. This increased usage has vastly improved human welfare.
* Kyoto- driven government schemes will reward those who follow the current "doctrine", not the innovators.
* IPCC approaches want us to move away from consumption, but this will work against the betterment of the world.
This is a balanced and measured book that calmly and cautiously dismantles the Gore-Kyoto myth, which one day we will all look back upon and wonder how we were taken in...
0 comments:
Post a Comment